Publication Date: 04/12/2026 3:25 PM CST
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25% Say It's Likely Iran Will Honor Promise Not To Pursue Nuclear Weapons

Publication: 04/12/2026 3:25 PM CST

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  • Just 25% of voters say it is at least Somewhat Likely that Iran would honor a promise to not pursue nuclear weapons if it maintained its nuclear program.
    • Two thirds (64%) disagree.
    • These numbers include 8% who say it is Very Likely and 38% who say it is Not At All Likely.
    • Just 21% of Republicans and 32% of Democrats say it is likely Iran would honor such a promise.
  • With this in mind, 53% of voters say that it is more important to stop Iran from developing a nuclear weapon than it is to end the war in Iran, while 40% disagree.
    • Three quarters (76%) of Republicans say stopping Iran is more important, while 62% of Democrats take the opposite view.
    • A majority (55%) of voters with a postgraduate degree say it is more important to end the war, while a majority of all other voters (55%) place more importance on stopping Iran from developing a nuclear weapon.
  • In a similar vein, 60% of voters say that it is more important to prevent Iran from getting a nuclear weapon than it is to keep gas prices low.
    • On this question, Republican sentiment is unchanged, though Democrats prefer keeping gas low by a much narrower margin of 51% to 43%
    • A strong majority (60%) of voters who prefer AOC-like polices say keeping gas prices low is more important, but 55% of Traditional Democratic voters say it is more important to keep Iran from a nuclear weapon.
  • Still, despite believing it is unnacceptable for Iran to have a nuclear weapon, voters are clearly opposed to this war.


This data is from a Napolitan News Service survey of 1,000 Registered Voters conducted online by Scott Rasmussen, April 8-9, 2026. RMG Research, Inc., conducted the field work for the survey. It has a margin of error of +/- 3.1.


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