Publication Date: 09/23/2026 2:00 PM CST
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Top 10 Competitive House Districts

Publication: 09/23/2026 2:00 PM CST

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Scott's Scoreboard calculates the percentage likelihood that individual candidates will win a particular Senate, House, or Gubernatorial race. These data-driven estimates are compiled from a combination of forecaster ratings, polling averages, and prediction markets. In addition, Scott's Scoreboard provedes a Competativeness Rating for each race. A 100% Competitiveness Rating would mean that the race is a pure 50-50 Toss-Up.

Using this measure, the ten closest House races in the country are:

Scott's Scoreboard lists all of these districts as Toss-Ups. Six of the top 10 seats are currently held by Republicans and 4 are held by Republicans.


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