Just 30% of voters are more likely to trust a candidate if that candidate believes biological males should play in women's sports. In contrast, 48% would be less trusting of that candidate on other issues.

Unsurprisingly, a solid majority (65%) of Republicans would be less trusting. However, much like other transgender data shows, the Democratic party is divided. Voters who prefer policies like those of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) are MORE trusting of such a candidate by a margin of 44% to 31%. Meanwhile, voters who prefer the policies of a traditional Democrat are LESS trusting by a margin of 40% to 23%.

The perception of a united Democratic front on topics like illmigration or transgender issues is a result of the behavior of Democrats in Congress. But, as related data shows [LINK], there is a clear distinction between what voters support and what they believe their representatives support.

What's It Mean for November?

Still, despite being a hot-button topic, the topic of biological males in women's sports is not likely to impact voters in the midterms, except perhaps on the fringes in an otherwise politically neutral environment. Just 28% say the issue is Very Important to their vote. That doesn't even place it in voters' top-10. In contrast, over 70% say the economy is Very Important. And the cost of gas and the issue of inflation has voters more concerned than at any other point this year.