There has been a significant reversal on the Generic Ballot question over the past month: 48% of voters would now vote for the Democrat from their district, while 44% would vote for the Republican. When leaners are included, the latest Napolitan News survey found that the Democratic lead increases to five points (50% to 45%).

That is a seven point swing since February, when the GOP held a two-point advantage (48% to 46%). Just before Inauguration Day, Republicans had a seven-point advantage (51% to 44%).

Generic ballot concerns coincide with growing negativity among voters on President Trump's handling of economic issues: on inflation, 41% approve of the presidents performance, while 59% disapprove. A month ago, 45% approved and 52% disapproved. Two months ago, 48% approved and 47% disapproved.

On other economic issues, 43% approve and 55% disapprove. The public was evenly divided a month ago: 48% approved, 48% disapproved.

Historically, voters have tended to trust Republicans more than Democrats on the economy. If voter concerns aren't addressed, however, Democrats will continue to make gains on the generic ballot.

The most recent data cited is from a Napolitan News Service survey of 1,000 Registered Voters conducted online by Scott Rasmussen April 16, 2025. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. and has a margin of error of +/- 3.1.