Is the US in a Recession? 35% Say It Is

Publication Date: 05/14/2026 5:00 AM CST

Is the US in a Recession? 35% Say It Is

Publication: 05/14/2026 5:00 AM CST

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About one third (35%) of registered voters say the country is currently in a recession, down 3 points from 2 weeks ago and a month ago.
- Thirty-eight percent (38%) say the U.S. is not in a recession, up 2 points from 2 weeks ago.
- One quarter (27%) are Not Sure.
- A plurality of Democrats (46%) say the U.S. is in a recession, while only 25% disagree, and 29% are Not Sure.
- Twenty-six percent (26%) of Republicans say the country is in a recession, but 51% disagree, and 23% are Not Sure.
Among the 35% who say the U.S. is in a recession, 60% say it will not end in the next 6 months.
- Conversely, among the 38% of voters who say we are not in a recession, 59% say the U.S. will not enter a recession in the next 6 months.
- As always, the party in power is more optimistic.

See also: Opinions on the Economy and Personal Finances.

This data is from a Napolitan News Service survey of 1,000 Registered Voters conducted online by Scott Rasmussen, May 11-12, 2026. RMG Research, Inc., conducted the field work for the survey. It has a margin of error of +/- 3.1.