Only 19% Say It Is Very Likely Congress Will Avoid Shutdown

Publication Date: 09/26/2025 10:00 AM CST

Only 19% Say It Is Very Likely Congress Will Avoid Shutdown

Publication: 09/26/2025 10:00 AM CST

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Only 19% say it's Very Likely that Congressional leaders will reach an agreement in time to avoid a partial government shutdown on October 1.
- Eight percent (8%) of voters say it is Not At All Likely a deal will be reached.
Half (51%) of voters correctly assert that Social Security benefits continue to be paid during a partial federal government shutdown.
- One in three (30%) are not sure if benefits would be paid, and 18% say that benefits are not paid.

The most recent data cited is from a Napolitan News Service survey of 1,000 Registered Voters conducted online by Scott Rasmussen, September 23-24, 2025. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. and has a margin of error of +/- 3.1.