32% Say U.S. Is Winning War, 14% Say Iran, 38% Say Neither

Publication Date: 10/07/2026 6:00 AM CST

32% Say U.S. Is Winning War, 14% Say Iran, 38% Say Neither

Publication: 10/07/2026 6:00 AM CST

Member Content

The content you are trying to access is currently only available to Gold Circle Members. If you are a member, please log in to view.

To learn more about becoming a Gold Circle Member, please refer to our membership page.

Full Toplines: RESTRICTED

Full Crosstabs URL: RESTRICTED

Toplines are free for use after embargo, if any. Crosstabs are confidential and not for public release. However, you may cite specific demographic data from these reports.
For any data released, please cite Napolitan News Service.

Public Content

Thirty-two percent (32%) say the U.S. is winning, down 7 points from May. Just 14% believe Iran is winning, though that is up 7 points from May. Thirty-eight percent (38%) believe neither side is winning, up 1 point from May.

A majority of Republicans say we are winning the war, while a plurality of Democrats say noone is. However, just 54% of Republicans say the U.S. is winning the war, down from 69% in May. Another 32% say neither side is winning, while just 2% say Iran is winning.

Democrats are far more skeptical: 18% say the U.S. is winning; 46% say neither side is winning, and 23% say Iran is winning, up 12 points from 11% in May.

Seven-in-10 Trump-policy voters (68%) say we are winning the war, but just 29% of Traditional GOP voters agree. Both numbers are down; in May, 82% of Trump-policy voters said the U.S. was winning, along with 43% of Traditional GOP voters.

This data is from a Napolitan News Service survey of 1,000 Registered Voters conducted online by Scott Rasmussen, October 5-6, 2026. RMG Research, Inc., conducted the field work for the survey. It has a margin of error of +/- 3.1.