• If the election were held today, 45% of registered voters say they would vote for the Republican from their district, and 41% say they would vote for the Democrat.
  • When leaners are included, the GOP maintains a 4-point advantage, 48% to 44%.
  • The Republican party numbers have risen slightly since September, when the GOP led 46% to 45% (leaners included).
  • Republicans have held an advantage on the Generic Congressional Ballot every month this year, with the exceptions of April and May (when the Democrats had an advantage), and August, when the results were tied at 47%.
• However, among those Very Enthusiastic about voting, Democrats lead Republicans 50% to 48%.
  • Those who are Very Enthusiastic are most likely to turn out and cast a ballot.
  • Among voters who prefer Trump-like policies, 43% are Very Enthusiastic. That's comparable to enthusiasm among Democrats.
  • Among those who prefer more traditional Republican policies, just 22% are Very Enthusiastic.
  • Senior voters over 65 are the most enthusiastic age group to vote, with 57% Very Enthusiastic. Just 27% of 18- to 34-year-old voters and 27% of 35- to 44-year-old voters are Very Enthusiastic.
  • The largest majority (64%) of Very Enthusiastic voters are those who talk politics every day or almost daily.

This data is from a Napolitan News Service survey of 2,000 Registered Voters conducted online by Scott Rasmussen, December 1-4, 2025. RMG Research, Inc., conducted the field work for the survey. It has a margin of error of +/- 3.1.