• Some states have signed an agreement to give all of their electoral votes to the presidential candidate who wins the overall popular vote nationwide, regardless of whether that candidate won in that state.
• A third (35%) of voters favor this National Popular Vote Compact agreement, and a plurality (42%) oppose it.
  • The same number favored the agreement in August 2022, but more voters (46%) opposed it in 2022.
  • The parties are fairly aligned with 34% of Republicans and 38% of Democrats favoring the proposal, and a plurality on each side opposing it (44% R and 41% D).
• A plurality (50%) of voters say that if a Democrat won the popular vote in California by a large margin, but a Republican won the national popular vote, California would not cast its electoral college votes for the Republican.
  • Almost a third (29%) say California would cast its votes for the Republican.
  • Twenty-two percent (22%) are not sure.
• Asked another way, if California honoring its pledge to vote for the national popular vote winner meant the Republican would become president, but doing what California voters meant the Democrat would become president, again, just 29% thought California would cast its votes for the Republican.
  
  • Meanwhile, 43% say voters would
  • One quarter (27%) are not sure.
  • A plurality (44%) of Republicans say California would cast its votes for the Republican.
  • Conversely, 55% of Democrats say California would vote for the Democrat and not honor the pledge to vote for the national popular vote winner.

This data is from a Napolitan News Service survey of 1,000 Registered Voters conducted online by Scott Rasmussen, May 18-19, 2026. RMG Research, Inc., conducted the field work for the survey. It has a margin of error of +/- 3.1.