Publication Date: 06/12/2026 5:00 AM CST
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Majority Expect at Least 6 More Months of War

Publication: 06/12/2026 5:00 AM CST

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A majority of voters (52%) say the war in Iran will last at least another 6 months. A Napolitan News survey found that number includes 29% who say it will last 6 months and another 23% who say it will last at least a year. Just 28% say the war will last a few months or less.

If those sentiments prove true, the continuing drain on the economy will be devestating for the Republicans in the midterms.

A plurality (44%) of Trump-policy voters say the war will end in a few months or less, but just 28% of Traditional GOP voters agree with them. In fact, even AOC-policy voters are more optimistic than traditional GOP voters: 32% say it will end in a few months or less.

In addition, confidence in success is dwindling: the number saying the U.S. and Israeli attacks are at least Somewhat Likely to overthrow the Iranian government is now down 9 points since the war began, at 44%. Still, voters remain modestly optimistic that Iran will have to give up its nuclear program, with 55% considering it at least Somewhate Likely.

By a 51% to 40% margin, voters oppose increasing the level of attacks on Iran. Two thirds (65%) of Republicans favor the idea, while 73% of Democrats and 64% of independents oppose it.

The opposition is understandable, given that just 32% of voters are confident increased attacks will speed up the end of the conflict.


This data is from a Napolitan News Service survey of 1,000 Registered Voters conducted online by Scott Rasmussen, June 10-11, 2026. RMG Research, Inc., conducted the field work for the survey. It has a margin of error of +/- 3.1.


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Post Type: NNS News Brief
Post Tags: Foreign Policy

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