39% Say It Is Very Likely Iran Will Attack The U.S. Military

Publication Date: 06/25/2025 7:00 AM CST

39% Say It Is Very Likely Iran Will Attack The U.S. Military

Publication: 06/25/2025 7:00 AM CST

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In a poll conducted before the ceasefire was announced, 39% of registered voters think it is very likely that Iran will directly attack the U.S. military.
- A Napolitan News survey found that another 30% say it is somewhat likely.
Twenty-eight percent (28%) of voters think it is very likely Iran will successfully launch a significant terrorist attack within the U.S.
- An additional 38% say it is somewhat likely, while 20% say it is unlikely.
If Iran attacks the U.S., 54% think it is likely that NATO will honor its treaty and retaliate against Iran.
- Thirty-percent (30%) disagree.

The most recent data cited is from a Napolitan News Service survey of 1,000 Registered Voters conducted online by Scott Rasmussen June 23-24, 2025. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. and has a margin of error of +/- 3.1.