January Party ID: Dem 45% Rep 44%, Dems Start Year in the Lead

Publication Date: 02/05/2026 5:00 AM CST

January Party ID: Dem 45% Rep 44%, Dems Start Year in the Lead

Publication: 02/05/2026 5:00 AM CST

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In the full month of January, 45% considered themselves Democrats or leaned Democrat, while 44% of voters considered themselves Republican or leaned Republican.
- For Republicans, this number has trended down. It is 1 point down from December and November, and 2 points down from October.
- Meanwhile, for Democrats the number is up 2 points from December, and up 1 point from November and October.
- When leaners are removed, the Republicans have a 2-point advantage (37% Republicans to 35% Democrats).
From November 2024 through December 2025, Republicans held a party edge every month, except one.
- In April 2025, when tariffs were announced, Democrats had an edge as they do this month.
- This Napolitan News survey is based upon interviews with 9,239 registered voters. A description of the dynamic party weighting methodology used to obtain these results is available here.
See the December, November, and October results.

This data is from a Napolitan News Service survey of 9,239 Registered Voters conducted online by Scott Rasmussen, January 2026. RMG Research, Inc., conducted the field work for the survey. It has a margin of error of +/- 1.2.