The latest Napolitan News survey in Michigan shows Vice President Kamala Harris with a very slight lead over former president Donald Trump (50% to 47%). That three point gap is within the polls' margin of sampling error.

Harris leads among those with a post graduate degree (70% to 28%), while Trump leads among all other voters (49% to 47%).

Determining who is likely to vote is challenging, especially this far in advance of an election. So, Napolitan News considers a range of possible turnout indicators. Among those most likely to vote, the race is even closer with Harris at 49% and Trump at 48%. This suggests that an exceptionally large turnout might benefit Harris more than Trump.

Like the races in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, the race in Michigan remains too close to call. A recent column by Scott Rasmussen provided "Five Reasons Nobody Knows Who is Going to Win" the presidential race at this time.

In the Michigan Senate race, Democrat Elissa Slotkin has a six-point lead over Republican Mike Rogers.

Nationally, Napolitan News releases new data each Friday.

Napolitan News surveys ask an initial question to determine the candidate preference for each candidate. Then, a follow-up question is asked of uncommitted voters to see which candidate they are leaning towards. The results are then reported "with leaners."

On the initial ask- the number without leaners- it was Harris 50% and Trump 46%.

This Napolitan News Service survey of 789 Likely Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 24-27, 2024. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. and has a margin of error of +/- 3.5.