The race for president is tied at 49% in Nevada.
The results reflect one of the awkward dynamics of polling reports in a close election. Harris' numbers round down to 49% while Trump's numbers round up to 49%. As a result, even though the poll results are 49% to 49%, Harris has a slight advantage (0.7 percentage points) that rounds up to a one-point lead.
In a poll with a 3.5 percentage point margin of sampling error, that difference is not significant and the race is a tossup. But we wanted to be precise in our reporting of the results.
Napolitan News surveys ask an initial question to determine the voter preference for each candidate. Then, a follow-up question is asked of uncommitted voters to see which candidate they are leaning towards. The results are then reported "with leaners."
On the initial ask- the number without leaners- it was Harris 49% and Trump 47%.
This Napolitan News Service survey of 782 Likely Voters was conducted online by Scott Rasmussen on September 30-October 3, 2024. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. and has a margin of error of +/- 3.5.
