Recently, Goldman Sachs raised the odds of U.S. recession to 35% as concerns about President Trump's tariffs grow.
Economic signals from voters continue to be a mixed bag. Overall, just 22% rate the economy as good or excellent. Thirty-eight percent (38%) say poor.
Closer to home, 27% say their personal finances are getting better while 32% say worse. In addition, twenty-seven 27% say businesses in their area are hiring while 30% say they are laying people off. Those numbers haven't moved much in recent months, and the hiring numbers have held steady since September.
One alarming indicator is that only 45% of voters believe it is a good time to be looking for a job. That's down 20 points since September.
One positive sign is that half of Americans (50%) now report paying off all their credit cards in full. That number has steadily gone up five points since January.
The most recent data cited is from a Napolitan News Service survey of 1,000 Registered Voters conducted online by Scott Rasmussen March 31-April 1, 2025. Field work for the survey was conducted by RMG Research, Inc. and has a margin of error of +/- 3.1.