36% Say U.S. Is in a Recession

Publication Date: 03/19/2026 5:00 AM CST

36% Say U.S. Is in a Recession

Publication: 03/19/2026 5:00 AM CST

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More than a third (36%) of voters say the country is currently in a recession, up 5 points from 2 weeks ago.
- Thirty-seven percent (37%) say the U.S. is not in a recession, down 4 points from early March.
- A plurality of Democrats (48%) say the U.S. is in a recession, while only 24% disagree.
- Almost a quarter (23%) of Republicans say the country is in a recession, but 54% disagree.
Among the 36% who say the U.S. is in a recession, 58% say it will not end in the next 6 months.
- Conversely, among the 37% of voters who say we are not in a recession, 53% say the U.S. will not enter a recession in the next 6 months.
- As always, the party in power is more optimistic.

See also: Opinions on the Economy and Personal Finances.

This data is from a Napolitan News Service survey of 1,000 Registered Voters conducted online by Scott Rasmussen, March 16-17, 2026. RMG Research, Inc., conducted the field work for the survey. It has a margin of error of +/- 3.1.