• If the election were held today, 44% of registered voters say they would vote for the Democrat from their district, and 43% say they would vote for the Republican.
  • When leaners are included, the results are even with Democrats and Republicans at 46%.
  • Republicans had the advantage for several months, but results have gone up and down for the past few months, and D's were up by 1 point in January.
  • Among postgraduate voters, Democrats lead by 16 points, and among voters with a bachelor's degree, Democrats lead by 3.
  • Among voters without a degree, Republicans lead by 2.
• Forty-two percent (42%) of voters are Very Enthusiastic about voting in the Congressional elections this year.
  • Among those Very Enthusiastic, Democrats lead Republicans 53% to 45%.
  • Those who are Very Enthusiastic are most likely to turn out and cast a ballot.
  • Among voters who prefer Trump-like policies, 47% are Very Enthusiastic, but more voters who prefer AOC-like policies (51%) are Very Enthusiastic.
  • Among those who prefer more traditional Republican policies, just 27% are Very Enthusiastic.
  • An overwhelming majority (87%) of postgraduate voters are enthusiastic about voting, with 55% being Very Enthusiastic.
  • The largest majority (78%) of Very Enthusiastic voters are those who talk politics every day or almost daily.
• See the February, January, and December results.

This data is from a Napolitan News Service survey of 2,000 Registered Voters conducted online by Scott Rasmussen, March 2-5, 2026. RMG Research, Inc., conducted the field work for the survey. It has a margin of error of +/- 3.1.